The overall market supply of bitcoin is actively declining. This is evidenced by the fact that the currency reserves of major centralized platforms have recently reached multi-year lows. In parallel, the active growth of bitcoin value indicates a growing deficit, which may result in a rapid increase in volatility.
The current situation suggests that market participants prefer to withdraw assets for storage. For bitcoin itself, this is considered a bullish factor. The fact is that the market supply is shrinking, which in conditions of stable demand translates into potential price growth. A global chart of cryptocurrency exchanges’ reserve estimates indicates that the metric has been systematically declining since the beginning of 2022.
At that time, the digital asset market was not facing the easiest of situations. At that time, the Federal Reserve’s key rate was held at high levels. This hit the overall liquidity level of the global market hard. Consequently, traders focused primarily on limiting risks rather than making quick profits.
This situation hit the entire segment of high-risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, hard. They spent the whole year 2022 mostly in a pronounced downtrend. However, already in 2023, most digital coins began to increase their positions very actively. Already in 2024, this trend continued.
This was largely due to the expectations of bitcoin halving, which took place in April. At the moment, the market conditions are in a full-fledged uptrend. Already at the beginning of the next month, the Fed meeting will be held. With a high degree of probability the American regulator will reduce the key refinancing rate.
著者 Camila Russo is an experienced journalist with a strong focus on crypto news.
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